Chelmsford Draw Bias

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Many shrewd horse racing punters research whether there is a draw bias at Chelmsford Racecourse.

The horse racing draws are perhaps the most overlooked factor in horse racing statistics in May 2024.

The Chelmsford draw bias refers to whether or not a racehorse running at Chelmsford has an advantage or disadvantage following the stall they have been drawn in.

Our horse racing tipsters can be influenced by the draw of the horse when selecting their best chances of a winner at Chelmsford Races.

In our Chelmsford Draw Guide, we will explain everything you need to know about the stalls and potential draw advantages for horses running at Chelmsford today.

Is there a draw bias at Chelmsford Racecourse?

Chelmsford Racecourse is known for its polytrack surface, which provides a fair and consistent racing surface. However, there does appear to be a draw bias over some distances.

For instance, over the 5-furlong distance, the bias is towards low numbers when the ground is good or better. The advantage of being drawn low is not as significant over 6 furlongs, but it’s still worth noting.

On the other hand, there is no apparent draw bias over 7 furlongs and a mile. When the ground is soft or heavy, the draw bias at Chelmsford seems to be negated, and it becomes a more level playing field for all horses.

What is the Draw Bias at Chelmsford 5 Furlongs?

Based on the analysis of previous races, there doesn’t appear to be a significant draw bias at Chelmsford 5 furlongs. While some may believe that low drawn runners have an advantage, the stats don’t support this claim.

Chelmsford City is a wide racecourse with deep bends, which means that runners have plenty of space to move and the bends don’t favour one side of the track over the other.

However, it’s worth noting that individual race conditions and the quality of the field can sometimes create a bias towards certain draws.

It’s always important to consider the specific circumstances of a race when making selections, rather than relying solely on general trends or biases.

Keeping an eye on the starting positions of previous winners and the pace of the race can be helpful in identifying any potential draw advantages or disadvantages.

What is the Draw Bias at Chelmsford 6 Furlongs?

Upon analysis of Chelmsford City Racecourse, it appears that there is no real draw bias at the 6 furlong distance.

Despite previous beliefs that low numbers are favoured, the statistics show that there is no significant advantage for any particular draw.

The course at Chelmsford City provides ample space for horses to position themselves before the bend, and the bends themselves are not as tight as some other all-weather courses.

It is important to note that while there may not be a strong draw bias at 6 furlongs, this does not mean that it is not a front runners’ course.

The analysis shows that prominent runners are favoured, with hold-up horses struggling to win over this distance.

What is the Draw Bias at Chelmsford 1 Mile?

Based on the analysis, there seems to be no significant draw bias at Chelmsford City Racecourse for races over one mile. It appears that both high and low drawn horses have an equal chance of winning.

This could be attributed to the wide and sweeping turns at Chelmsford City, which allow horses to move freely and find their ideal position during the race.

Therefore, there is no particular advantage for any specific draw at this distance, and other factors such as form, jockey, and pace will likely have a greater impact on the outcome of the race.

It is essential to consider that any potential bias can vary depending on the specific race conditions and the individual horse’s abilities.

Therefore, a detailed analysis of the race history, track conditions, and form of the horses should be conducted to determine any potential draw bias for a particular race.

Nonetheless, based on the overall analysis, it appears that Chelmsford City Racecourse is relatively fair for races over one mile.

Does The Stall Draw Affect Chances Of Winning In Flat Races at Chelmsford?

The chances of a horse winning can hugely be affected by the stall number at Chelmsford Races.

The best horse racing tipping services will adjust their judgements of horses with the best chances after the stall numbers are released in the Chelmsford racecards.

Here is some important information on the tips, results and runners for horses running at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford Pace Bias Statistics

Chelmsford racecourse is relatively new, but initial analysis suggests a significant pace bias that heavily favors front runners.

This bias is most pronounced over the 5-furlong distance, with Chelmsford having the largest pace bias of any turf or all-weather course in the country. Additionally, biases in favor of front runners exist over distances of up to a mile.

It is interesting to note that this bias does not exist over the marathon distances.

Despite this pace bias, Chelmsford City is a wide course with sweeping turns, which offers opportunities for horses to position themselves effectively, making it possible for hold-up horses to be successful as well.

It will be interesting to see if this pace bias persists over time or if it diminishes as the course continues to mature.


The data and stats are updated in real-time from our Chelmsford Horse Racing Results for the information shared on the draw bias.

With the draw bias mainly affecting the sprint races then punters are quickly on the lookout for the big ante posts races, as the draws are released.

Ground conditions, weather, and handicapping blots can affect the draw bias statistics. So at times, it is strongly advised to check the earlier races of the day to see if the draw bias on the current ground has changed.

Find all the draw bias information articles.