Predicting the number of winning SP favourites is a bet type that keeps punters interested in all 28 races of the 4 day Cheltenham Festival.

Are the bankers for Cheltenham 2025 going to help the punters to beat the bookies? Or will the favourites be upset by longer priced runners?

Many horse racing punters are trying to find which favourites to win Cheltenham races over the four days at 2025 Cheltenham Festival.

With 30% success rate at Cheltenham Festival the favourites have a great record so we advise checking out the biggest horse racing trainers chances of a winner:

In this Number of Winning Cheltenham Festival SP Favourites Guide, we will show the latest betting odds, predictions and previous stats on winning faves.

Find out more about winning SP favs at Cheltenham:

Contents

1 Cheltenham Festival Winning Favourites?
2 All Favourites for Cheltenham
3 How often do Favourites win at Cheltenham?
4 Cheltenham Festival Winning Favourites Standings
5 Cheltenham Festival Shortest Priced Favourites
6 How to Pick the Best Odds for Cheltenham 2025
7 Cheltenham Betting Sites Offering Cheltenham Specials
8 Popular Questions
9 Summary of Cheltenham SP Favourites

Cheltenham Festival – Total Number of Winning SP Favourites

Cheltenham Festival Winning Favourites?

How many winning favourites will there be at this year’s Cheltenham Festival?

8 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 2/7
9 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 4/9
10 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 4/7
11 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 5/4
12 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 9/4
13 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 9/2
14 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 10/1
14 or more winning SP favourites (includes joint and co favourites) – 18/1

All Favourites for Cheltenham

Here is a full list of all the cheltenham festival favourites:

Day 1 Starting Price Favourites

On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Kopek Des Bordes is the SP favourite for the Michael O’Sullivan Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) at 13:20 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Majborough is the market leader in the My Pension Expert Arkle Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) at 14:00 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, The Changing Man is favoured in the Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) at 14:40 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Lossiemouth is the SP favourite for the Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 1) at 15:20 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Constitution Hill is the leading contender for the Unibet Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) at 16:00 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Stencil heads the market for the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) at 16:40 PM.
On the first day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Haiti Couleurs is expected to run strongly in the National Hunt Novices’ Chase (Novices’ Steeple Chase) (Novices’ Handicap) at 17:20 PM.

Day 2 Starting Price Favourites

On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, The New Lion is the SP favourite for the Turners Novices’ Hurdle Race (Grade 1) at 13:20 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Ballyburn is the market leader in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Steeple Chase at 14:00 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Kopeck De Mee is favoured in the Coral Cup Hurdle (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Premier Handicap) at 14:40 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Stumptown is the SP favourite for the Glenfarclas Cross Country Steeple Chase at 15:20 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Jonbon is the leading contender for the BetMGM Queen Mother Champion Steeple Chase (Grade 1) at 16:00 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Libberty Hunter heads the market for the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Premier Handicap) at 16:40 PM.
On the second day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Copacabana is expected to run strongly in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper (A Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) at 17:20 PM.

Day 3 Starting Price Favourites

On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Sixandahalf is the SP favourite for the Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) at 13:20 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Jagwar is the market leader in the Jack Richards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase at 14:00 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, The Wallpark is favoured in the Pertemps Network Final (A Handicap Hurdle Race) (Premier Handicap) at 14:40 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Fact To File is the SP favourite for the Ryanair Steeple Chase (Grade 1) at 15:20 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Teahupoo is the leading contender for the Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) at 16:00 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Crebilly heads the market for the TrustATrader Plate (A Handicap Steeple Chase) (Premier Handicap) at 16:40 PM.
On the third day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Sa Majeste is expected to run strongly in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (0-145) at 17:20 PM.

Day 4 Starting Price Favourites

On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, East India Dock is the SP favourite for the JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1) at 13:20 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Lark In The Mornin is the market leader in the William Hill County Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) at 14:00 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Dinoblue is favoured in the Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Steeple Chase (Grade 2) at 14:40 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Final Demand is the SP favourite for the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Race (Grade 1) at 15:20 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Galopin Des Champs is the leading contender for the Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase (Grade 1) at 16:00 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Angels Dawn heads the market for the St. James’s Place Festival Hunters Chase at 16:40 PM.
On the fourth day of the Cheltenham Festival 2025 meeting, Wodhooh is expected to run strongly in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (0-145) at 17:20 PM.

How often do Favourites win at Cheltenham?

The strike rate of favourites at Cheltenham Festival varies by race type, but historically, around 30-35% of favourites win across the four days. However, this depends on the race category:

Grade 1 races (e.g., Champion Hurdle, Gold Cup) see a higher favourite success rate, often around 40%, as elite horses dominate.
Handicaps are notoriously unpredictable, with favourites winning 20-25% of the time due to large, competitive fields.
Bumper races & novice events can be more favourable for well-backed market leaders.

Cheltenham is known for big-priced winners, making it a prime event for each-way betting and outsider tips.

Over the past decade at the Cheltenham Festival, there have been 79 favourites winning out of 273 races.

With 79 winning favourites over 10 years, thatr calculates to be a 28.9% average winning return on the favourites

So the favourite horse winning at Cheltenham is usually a one in three chance on average.

Cheltenham Festival Winning Favourites Standings

Here are the previous standings of how many SP Favourites won:

We predict there will be 10 SP favourite winners at Cheltenham Festival 2025
2024 Cheltenham Festival had 9 starting price favourite winners
2023 Cheltenham Festival had 9 starting price favourite winners
2022 Cheltenham Festival had 12 starting price favourite winners
2021 Cheltenham Festival had 8 starting price favourite winners
2020 Cheltenham Festival had 8 starting price favourite winners
2019 Cheltenham Festival had 8 starting price favourite winners
2018 Cheltenham Festival had 8 starting price favourite winners
2017 Cheltenham Festival had 7 starting price favourite winners
2016 Cheltenham Festival had 9 starting price favourite winners
2015 Cheltenham Festival had 7 starting price favourite winners

Cheltenham Festival Shortest Priced Favourites

Here are the shortest-priced SP favourites at the March 2025 Cheltenham Festival:

Kopek Des Bordes is a short priced fav to win The Michael O’Sullivan Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
Majborough is a short priced fav to win the Arkle Chase
Constitution Hill is a short priced fav to win the Champion Hurdle
Jonbon is a short priced fav to win the Champion Chase
Teahupoo is a short priced fav to win the Stayers Hurdle
Galopin Des Champs is a short priced fav to win the Gold Cup

The short odds favourites above are seen by many punters as the bankers of the meeting.

How to Pick the Best Odds for Cheltenham 2025

Backing early in the ante-post betting markets is the smartest way to find the best odds on the Cheltenham Festival.

Now all the major online bookies are offering your stake back for non-runners there is no reason to not punt in the ante-post markets.

Favourites are certainly not guaranteed to win the races at Cheltenham Races.

Many Cheltenham favourites have fallen to the disappointment of many punters.

So if you fancy any horses with large odds you could make the most of the betting brands offering extra places on each-way bets.

Trying to find value in the betting market is important and the biggest online bookmakers are now offering some amazing bonuses like:

Non-Runner Money Back
Best Odds Guaranteed
ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Free Bets
Money-Back On Fallers At Cheltenham
Money-Back If Fail to Finish At Cheltenham
Extra Place Races for Each Way Bets
Simple Bet Builders

Cheltenham Betting Sites Offering Cheltenham Specials

Many of the best Cheltenham betting sites offer Cheltenham Festival Specials like:

Check out our guides on them to find out more.

Summary of Cheltenham SP Favourites

The Cheltenham 2025 favourites are going to be heavily punted, but just how many of these starting price faves are going to win?

Over the years many of the favourites have run with credit at the Cheltenham Racecourse with a strike rate of around 30%.

If you are wanting to jump between all the races during the 4 Day Cheltenham Festival Event here are the fours days of racing covered in more detail.

Is the Cheltenham Racing Festival going to be won by the bankers or is it going to be the meeting for the outsiders? Are the total number of SP Favourites going to make it a meeting for the short-priced bankers or are there going to be some shocks with outsiders improving to win?

The horse racing fans and pundits have voiced their opinions, tips and predictions with their bankers for the 4-day meeting and now it is down to the jockeys, trainers and racehorses to take centre stage.

Good luck with your predictions, we hope you have a great Cheltenham!

Cheltenham Festival – Total Number of Winning SP Favourites