Epsom Draw Bias

Many shrewd horse racing punters research whether there is a draw bias at Epsom Racecourse.

The horse racing draws are perhaps the most overlooked factor in horse racing statistics in May 2023.

The Epsom draw bias refers to whether or not a racehorse running at Epsom has an advantage or disadvantage following the stall they have been drawn in.

Our horse racing tipsters can be influenced by the draw of the horse when selecting their best chances of a winner at Epsom Races.

In our Epsom Draw Guide, we will explain everything you need to know about the stalls and potential draw advantages for horses running at Epsom today.

Is there a draw bias at Epsom Racecourse?

Yes, there is a draw bias at Epsom racecourse. In races run over a mile and beyond, horses drawn low on the inside rail have a significant advantage.

In contrast, in sprint races, there is a significant bias towards high drawn horses, especially when the ground is soft. This is because the high-drawn runners can take advantage of the better ground on the stands side of the course.

In terms of individual distances, Epsom ranks as follows:

5 Furlongs: 17th out of 31 courses for front runners
6 Furlongs: 19th out of 27 courses for front runners
7 Furlongs: 25th out of 31 courses for front runners
1 Mile: 4th out of 25 courses for low drawn horses

Overall, it can be said that there is a significant draw bias at Epsom Racecourse, with the location of the starting stalls playing a crucial role in determining the outcome of races.

What is the Draw Bias at Epsom 5 Furlongs?

There is limited data available for five-furlong handicaps run on the course at Epsom, but the stats indicate a slight draw bias towards being drawn high, especially in larger fields.

The five-furlong race at Epsom is unique as it is one of the fastest five-furlong races in the world due to the steep hill they run down for almost the entire distance.

The high draw bias could be attributed to the fact that horses drawn high can take advantage of the quicker ground towards the stand side of the course.

However, with the limited data available, it is difficult to draw any definitive conclusions about the draw bias at Epsom’s five-furlong course.

What is the Draw Bias at Epsom 6 Furlongs?

There does not seem to be a draw bias at Epsom over 6 furlongs. The six furlongs at Epsom is different from the seven furlong races as they start on a chute and the turn is not as severe.

However, the stats indicate that being drawn high is somewhat advantageous compared to being drawn low.

The advantage of being drawn high could be attributed to the fact that the course is undulating and the ground is generally softer on the far side.

Horses that are drawn high have an advantage in this regard as they are closer to the far side and can take advantage of the better ground. Nonetheless, the draw bias is not significant enough to affect the overall outcome of races.

What is the Draw Bias at Epsom 7 Furlongs?

The seven-furlong races at Epsom are run on a tight left-handed bend, which seems to favour the horses drawn on the inside.

However, horses drawn in the highest two stalls have also won a significant number of races, which could be due to the stand side rail being the best place to be at times.

Thus, being drawn outside and able to tack across to the stand side rail can be an advantage. It is important to observe the bias at a particular meeting to determine if that stand side bias is present.

What is the Draw Bias at Epsom 1 Mile?

At Epsom, there doesn’t appear to be any draw bias over one mile.

The course is relatively fair with an even spread of winners across all stalls.

It suggests that a horse’s performance over this distance is more reliant on their ability and form than the position they are drawn in.

Does The Stall Draw Affect Chances Of Winning In Flat Races at Epsom?

The chances of a horse winning can hugely be affected by the stall number at Epsom Races.

The best horse racing tipping services will adjust their judgements of horses with the best chances after the stall numbers are released in the Epsom racecards.

Here is some important information on the tips, results and runners for horses running at Epsom.

Epsom Pace Bias Statistics

Epsom Racecourse has a unique 5-furlong course that is downhill all the way and is considered one of the fastest 5-furlong courses in the world.

It is incredibly challenging to lead from start to finish on this course, and it is similar to Goodwood’s 5-furlong course.

On the other hand, for the other distances, races take place around a bend, and certain areas of the course can be more advantageous than others.

As a result, being in the lead can provide jockeys with an advantage in determining where to race on the course. This may explain why front runners are preferred for these distances.

Epsom’s ranking against other turf courses with equivalent distances is shown below for each individual distance.

Epsom is ranked 22nd out of 31 courses for front runners over 5 furlongs, 8th out of 29 courses for 6 furlongs, 3rd out of 24 courses for 7 furlongs, and 15th out of 30 courses for 8 furlongs.

These statistics demonstrate that Epsom has a higher preference for front runners over longer distances, with the 7-furlong race being the most favourable for front runners.

Summary

The data and stats are updated in real-time from our Epsom Horse Racing Results for the information shared on the draw bias.

With the draw bias mainly affecting the sprint races then punters are quickly on the lookout for the big ante posts races, as the draws are released.

Ground conditions, weather, and handicapping blots can affect the draw bias statistics. So at times, it is strongly advised to check the earlier races of the day to see if the draw bias on the current ground has changed.

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